A chronology of the events that led up to the war.
This week's paper goes to press after a weekend of increasingly bad news in Iraq: more shootings, more bombings and more deaths of Iraqis and Americans. Back in the US, the war in Iraq has pervaded the midterm elections, and many believe it could hurt the GOP come November. Even the Iraq Study Group, a panel endorsed by George W Bush and headed by former Secretary of State James A Baker, III, announced last week that it would be recommending a change of plans in Iraq rather than a continuation of the current strategy that has led to so much bloodshed.
So how did we get here?
The following chronology of the years leading up to the war in Iraq begins to answer that question by parsing the often-deceptive political strategies and decisions that led this country into war. Some entries include a second date-that date represents when the information in the entry became public.
This chronology is excerpted and reprinted with permission from Mother Jones magazine, ©2006, Foundation for National Progress. An expanded version of this timeline, searchable and with links to hundreds of primary documents, is available at
www.motherjones.com/bush_war_timeline
. Bookmark it now: In the coming months, Mother Jones will be extending the timeline to the present.
-JG
1992
8/14
Defense Sec. Dick Cheney declares President Bush, Sr., wise not to invade Baghdad and "get bogged down in the problems of trying to take over and govern Iraq."
1993
4/15
Saddam Hussein reportedly tries to assassinate Bush, Sr.
1998
1/26
Project for a New American Century (PNAC)-founded by Cheney, Scooter Libby, Donald Rumsfeld, Jeb Bush, Paul Wolfowitz and other top neocons-demands President Clinton undertake the "removal of Saddam Hussein's regime."
6/23
"The good Lord didn't see fit to put oil and gas only where there are democratically elected regimes friendly to the United States."-Halliburton CEO Cheney
8/7
Al Qaeda bombs US embassies in Africa, killing 220 and injuring some 4,000.
10/31
Clinton signs the Iraq Liberation Act. Regime change becomes official US policy.
Late '98
Gen. Anthony Zinni, head of US Central Command, examines Iraqi exile Ahmed Chalabi's military plan to overthrow Saddam with 1,000 men. He warns Congress it is "pie in the sky, a fairy tale."
1999
Nov.
Chalabi-connected Iraqi defector "Curveball"-a convicted sex offender and low-level engineer who became the sole source for much of the case that Saddam had WMD, particularly mobile weapons labs-enters Munich seeking a German visa. German intel officers describe his information as highly suspect. US agents never debrief Curveball or perform background check. Nonetheless, Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) and CIA will pass raw intel on to senior policymakers.
2000
10/3
Debating Al Gore, George W Bush says he'd commit troops only with an
"exit strategy," and he'd be "very careful about using our troops as nation builders."
10/11
In a subsequent debate, Bush says: "If we're an arrogant nation, they'll
resent us. If we're a humble nation, but strong, they'll welcome us."
10/12
Al Qaeda attacks USS Cole in Aden, Yemen, killing 17 and injuring 39.
11/6
Congress doubles funding for Iraqi opposition groups to more than $25 million; $18 million earmarked for Chalabi's Iraqi National Congress, which then pays defectors for anti-Iraq tales.
11/7
Election night: Indecision 2000 begins.
Nov.
Future Chief Justice John Roberts flies to Florida to advise Jeb Bush during recount.
12/12
Supreme Court hands presidency to George W Bush.
2001
Early
'
01
Enron CEO Ken Lay named to Bush Energy Dept. transition team. Jack Abramoff appointed to Interior Dept. transition team.
1/30
Saddam's removal is top item of Bush's inaugural national security meeting. Treasury Sec. Paul O'Neill later recalls, "It was all about finding a way to do it. The president saying, 'Go find me a way to do this.'"
1/10/04
2/11
"Iraq is probably not a nuclear threat at the present time."-Defense Sec. Donald Rumsfeld tells Fox News' Tony Snow
2/14
Dick Cheney's energy task force begins secret meetings with oil company
executives.
4/16/01
2/16
Bush: " To send a clear signal to Saddam," US and UK bomb targets near Baghdad.
2/24
Saddam "has not developed any significant capability with respect to weapons of mass destruction."-Sec. of State Colin Powell
2/26
Future Iraq Ambassador L Paul Bremer, III, says: "The new administration seems to be paying no attention to the problem of terrorism."
4/29/04
3/5
Pentagon produces document titled "Foreign Suitors for Iraqi Oilfield Contracts" for Cheney's task force. Includes a map of areas for potential
exploration.
7/17/03
4/10
Lone CIA analyst known only as "Joe" tells top Bush brass that aluminum tubes bought by Iraq can only be for nuclear centrifuges.
8/10/03
8/6
On vacation in Crawford, Bush receives a Presidential Daily Briefing warning, "Bin Laden Determined to Strike in US." FBI highlights Al Qaeda activities consistent with hijacking preparations, as well as surveillance of federal buildings.
5/18/02
CIA officer flies to Crawford to call Bush's attention to document. Bush replies, "All right, you've covered your ass now."
6/20/06
8/10
Major air raid on Iraq.
8/17
Memo to CIA from Energy Dept. experts eviscerates "Joe's" theory that aluminum tubes purchased by Iraq are for nuclear centrifuges. Memo given to National Security Adviser Condoleezza Rice, who later claims tubes are clear evidence of Iraqi nuke program.
5/1/04
Sept.
Curveball granted German asylum, ceases cooperating. British spy agency MI6 has told CIA that "elements of [his] behavior strike us as typical of...fabricators."
11/20/05
9/10
NSA intercepts messages that say, "The match is about to begin" and "Tomorrow is zero hour." Not translated until Sept. 12.
6/10/02
9/11
Al Qaeda attacks. Minutes taken by a Rumsfeld aide five hours later: "Best info fast. Judge whether good enough [to] hit SH [Saddam Hussein] @ same time. Not only UBL [Usama bin Laden]."
9/4/02
9/12
According to counterterror czar Richard Clarke, "[Bush] told us, 'I want you, as soon as you can, to go back over everything, everything. See if Saddam did this.'" Told evidence against Al Qaeda overwhelming, Bush asks for "any shred" Saddam was involved. 3/22/04
9/17
Bush wants Osama "Dead or Alive."
9/18
Anthrax attacks begin.
9/19
Pentagon's Defense Policy Board, chaired by Richard Perle and featuring Henry Kissinger and Newt Gingrich, declares that Iraq should be invaded after Afghanistan.
10/12/01
9/20
British PM Tony Blair advises Bush not to lose focus on Al Qaeda. Bush replies: "I agree with you, Tony. But when we have dealt with Afghanistan, we must come back to Iraq."
5/1/04
9/20
PNAC letter to Bush: "Even if evidence does not link Iraq directly to the attack, any strategy aiming at the eradication of terrorism and its sponsors must include a determined effort to remove Saddam Hussein from power."
9/21/01
9/21
Bush briefed by intel community that there is no evidence linking Saddam to 9/11.
11/22/05
9/21
Justice Dept. lawyer John Yoo declares Fourth Amendment flexible, writing: "[T]he government may be justified in taking measures which in less troubled conditions could be seen as infringements of individual liberties."
10/24/04
9/25
Yoo forges doctrine of preemption, writing that Bush may use his war powers to act against groups or individuals, even if it would be "difficult to establish [that they] have been or may be implicated in attacks."
3/22/02
Oct.
Rumsfeld sets up own intelligence unit to look for Iraqi links to terrorism.
10/24/02
10/7
Afghanistan invaded.
10/8
Office of Homeland Security established.
10/11
Terror alert: Terrorists could attack unspecified targets in "next several days."
10/25
Uniting and Strengthening America by Providing Appropriate Tools Required to Intercept and Obstruct Terrorism (USA PATRIOT) Act passes 98-1 in the Senate.
10/30
Head of Homeland Security Tom Ridge announces, "We believe the United States could very well be targeted this week."
11/21
Bush collars Rumsfeld physically and asks: "'What have you got in terms of plans for Iraq? What is the status of the war plan? I want you to get on it. I want you to keep it secret.'"-Bob Woodward
4/18/04
11/24
"American Taliban" John Walker Lindh captured.
11/26
Bush declares, "Saddam is evil."
Late Nov.
Osama bin Laden, pinned down at Tora Bora, slips away.
12/2
Enron declares bankruptcy.
12/3
Terror alert.
12/9
Cheney on
Meet the Press
: "Well, the evidence is pretty conclusive that the Iraqis have indeed harbored terrorists." Also claims 9/11 hijacker Mohammed Atta met with Iraqi spy in Prague, a claim he'll repeat long after CIA and Czechs disavow.
12/12
Rumsfeld demands plan for war against Iraq. Gen. Tommy Franks proposes softening up Iraq: "I'm thinking in terms of spikes, Mr. Secretary. Spurts of activity followed by periods of inactivity."
8/3/04
12/22
Shoe bomber Richard Reid tries to blow up an AA flight from Paris to Miami.
12/28
Gen. Franks briefs Bush on Iraq war plans.
3/5/03
2002
Early '02
Bush approves "The Program," which permits NSA to surveil US citizens without a warrant, court approval or sign-off from the Justice Dept. 12/16/05
Jan.
FBI, which favors standard law enforcement interrogation practices, loses debate with CIA Director George Tenet, and Ibn al-Shaykh al-Libi, top Al Qaeda paramilitary trainer (captured 11/11/01), is transferred to CIA custody. Al-Libi is then rendered to Egypt. "They duct-taped his mouth, cinched him up and sent him to Cairo," an FBI agent told reporters. "At the airport the CIA case officer goes up to him and says, 'You're going to Cairo, you know. Before you get there, I am going to find your mother and I'm going to fuck her.'"
6/13/04
Under torture, al-Libi invents tale of Al Qaeda operatives receiving chemical weapons training from Iraq. "This is the problem with using the waterboard. They get so desperate that they begin telling you what they think you want to hear," a CIA source later tells ABC.
11/18/05
1/9
Yoo memo to Pentagon brass declares that the laws of war, including the Geneva Conventions, do not apply to the conflict in Afghanistan.
5/24/04
1/11
First 20 detainees arrive at Guantanamo.
1/22
Navy photo released showing detainees bound and hooded. Rumsfeld defends the detentions of "committed terrorists."
1/23
Pakistani militants kidnap Wall Street Journal reporter Daniel Pearl.
1/27
Cheney calls Gitmo detainees "the worst of a very bad lot. They are very dangerous. They are devoted to killing millions of Americans."
1/29
Bush delivers "Axis of Evil" State of the Union. Speechwriter David Frum later says phrase was the fruit of being asked: "Can you sum up in a sentence or two our best case for going after Iraq?"
1/8/03
Early Feb.
Daniel Pearl beheaded.
2/21/02
Feb.
"I was asked by one of the senior commanders of Central Command to go into his office. We did, the door was closed, and he turned to me, and he said, 'Senator, we have stopped fighting the war on terror in Afghanistan. We are moving military and intelligence personnel and resources out of Afghanistan to get ready for a future war in Iraq.'"-Sen. Bob Graham
3/26/04
Feb.
DIA intelligence summary notes that al-Libi's "confession" lacks details and suggests that he is most likely telling interrogators what he thinks will "retain their interest." Also states: "Saddam's regime is intensely secular and is wary of Islamic revolutionary movements. Moreover, Baghdad is unlikely to provide assistance to a group it cannot control."
10/26/05
2/7
Presidential directive defines Taliban and Al Qaeda detainees as "enemy combatants" exempt from prisoner-of-war protections.
2/12
Attorney General John Ashcroft calls on "all Americans to be on the highest state of alert."
2/13
Total Information Awareness program leaked.
2/26
Former Ambassador Joseph Wilson sent to Niger to check out claims Iraq buying uranium-rich yellowcake.
7/6/03
March
"Fuck Saddam. We're taking him out."-Bush to Rice and three senators.
12/8/03
March
As The New Yorker later reports: "Chalabi's defector reports were now flowing from the Pentagon directly to the Vice President's office, and then on to the President, with little prior evaluation by intelligence professionals."
10/27/03
3/5
Joe Wilson tells CIA there's no indication that Iraq is buying yellowcake.
7/6/03
3/8
First of Downing Street memos prepared by Tony Blair's top national security aides. "There is no greater threat now than in recent years that Saddam will use WMD…Washington believes the legal basis for an attack on Iraq already exists…Regime change has no basis in international law."
9/18/04
3/12
Color-coded terror alert system introduced.
3/13
Bush on Osama: "I'll repeat what I said. I truly am not that concerned about him."
3/15
British intel reports that there's only "sporadic and patchy" evidence of Iraqi WMD. "There is no intelligence on any [biological weapons] production facilities."
9/18/04
3/22
Downing Street memo: "US scrambling to establish a link between Iraq and Al Qaida is so far frankly unconvincing…We are still left with a problem of bringing public opinion to accept the imminence of a threat from Iraq…Regime change does not stack up. It sounds like a grudge between Bush and Saddam."
9/18/04
3/24
Saddam "is actively pursuing nuclear weapons at this time."-Cheney on CNN
3/25
Downing Street memo: "There has been no credible evidence to link Iraq with Al Qaida…In the documents so far presented it has been hard to glean whether the threat from Iraq is so significantly different from that of Iran or North Korea as to justify action."
9/18/04
Late March
Cheney tells Republican senators that the question is no longer if the US will invade Iraq but when.
5/5/02
4/4
Blair visits Bush in Crawford to discuss Iraq. Bush tells Britain's ITV: "I made up my
mind that Saddam needs to go."
4/5
Bush promotes "Operation TIPS" program to turn postal workers, bus drivers, meter readers and even lobstermen into freelance government spies.
May
Primary corroborator of Curveball's claims that Iraq has mobile weapons labs is judged a liar and Chalabi plant by DIA. A fabricator warning is posted in US intelligence databases.
3/28/04
5/8
José Padilla arrested at O'Hare airport.
6/10/02
5/18
The 2001 "Bin Laden Determined to Strike in US" warning leaked to press.
5/20
FBI Director Robert Mueller says another terrorist attack "inevitable."
5/21
Asked if he has a plan to attack Iraq, Gen. Franks replies: "That's a great question…my boss has not yet asked me to put together a plan to do that."
5/21
Based on statements made by Abu Zubaydah, Al Qaeda "operations chief" (captured 3/28/02), FBI warns of attacks against railroads, Brooklyn Bridge, Statue of Liberty and rushes agents to sites.
6/20/06
5/23
Bush states opposition to 9/11 hearings. Senate subcommittee votes to subpoena administration about Enron.
5/24
FBI warns of Memorial Day attacks by scuba divers.
Summer
French debunk yellowcake theory: "We told the Americans, 'Bullshit. It doesn't make any sense,'" French official says.
12/11/05
June
To a deputy raising doubts about Iraq war, Rice says: "Save your breath. The president has already made up his mind."
1/7/04
June
Iraq bombing begins. Military will fly 21,736 sorties and attack 349 targets between now and the start of the war.
6/6
Coleen Rowley, the FBI agent who tried to alert her superiors to flight training taken by Zacarias Moussaoui, testifies before Congress.
6/10
In midst of 9/11 hearings, Ashcroft interrupts trip to Russia to announce arrest of Padilla, who's now accused of "dirty bomb" plot. Declared an enemy combatant, he'll be held four years without access to court system.
Mid-'02
Cheney and Scooter Libby begin meeting directly with CIA analysts.
6/5/03
July
Gen. Franks secretly requests $700 million for war preparations. Bush approves, unbeknownst to Congress. Money taken from appropriation for the war in Afghanistan.
4/18/04
7/15
Despite indications he was tortured into confession, Lindh cops to 20 years.
7/23
Downing Street memo written by foreign secretary after his visit with CIA's Tenet and other US officials: "There was a perceptible shift in attitude. Military action was now seen as inevitable…The intelligence and facts were being fixed around the policy…The most likely timing in US minds for military action to begin was January, with the timeline beginning 30 days before the US Congressional elections."
5/1/05
Aug.
White House Iraq Group created to market war. Members include Rove, Libby, Rice, as well as spinmeisters Karen Hughes and Mary Matalin.
8/10/03
8/1
Justice Dept. memo asserts that Bush's wartime powers supersede international anti-torture laws and treaties, defines torture as only that which is "equivalent in intensity to the pain accompanying serious physical injury, such as organ failure, impairment of bodily function or even death."
6/8/04
8/7
Bush given Iraq war plan by Gen. Franks.
8/26
"There is no doubt that Saddam Hussein now has weapons of mass destruction. There is no doubt he is amassing them to use against our friends…and against us."-Cheney
8/26
Newsweek reports prisoners abused by US allies in Afghanistan.
Sept.
Bombing against Iraq intensifies.
9/3
Bush asks skeptical congressional leadership to support action against Iraq.
9/5
Upon hearing from Tenet that no National Intelligence Estimate had been produced to assess justification for war, Sen. Graham demands one.
9/7
"From a marketing point of view you don't introduce new products in August."-White House Chief of Staff Andy Card on rollout of the war
9/7
Bush claims a new UN International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) report states Iraq is six months from developing a nuclear weapon. There is no such report.
9/8
Page 1 Times story by Judith Miller and Michael Gordon cites anonymous administration officials saying Saddam has repeatedly tried to acquire aluminum tubes "specially designed" to enrich uranium. "The first sign of a 'smoking gun,' they argue, may be a mushroom cloud."
9/8
Tubes "are only really suited for nuclear weapons programs…we don't want the smoking gun to be a mushroom cloud."-Rice on CNN
9/8
"We do know, with absolute certainty, that he is using his procurement system to acquire the equipment he needs in order to enrich uranium to build a nuclear weapon."-Cheney on
Meet the Press
9/10
Orange terror alert.
9/11
Bush marks 9/11 with Statue of Liberty backdrop.
9/12
Bush repeats aluminum-tube claim before UN General Assembly.
9/13
Cheney tells Rush Limbaugh: "What's happening, of course, is we're getting additional information that, in fact, Hussein is reconstituting his biological, chemical and nuclear weapons programs." There is no such new intel.
9/16
"The president hasn't made a decision to do anything with respect to Iraq."-Rumsfeld
9/16
White House economic adviser Lawrence Lindsey estimates Iraq war could cost $200 billion.
Mid-Sept.
American relatives of Iraqis sent as CIA moles return from Iraq. All 30 report Saddam has abandoned WMD programs. Intel buried in the CIA bureaucracy. President Bush never briefed.
1/3/06
9/18
Bush calls Saddam's offer to let inspectors back into Iraq "his latest ploy."
9/19
Rumsfeld tells Congress that Saddam "has amassed large, clandestine stockpiles of chemical weapons, including VX, sarin and mustard gas."
9/19
Classified UK memo notes there's "no definitive intelligence that [the aluminum tubes are] destined for a nuclear programme."
9/24/02
9/23
Institute for Science and International Security releases report calling the aluminum-tube intelligence ambiguous and warning that "US nuclear experts who dissent from the administration's position are expected to remain silent. 'The President has said what he has said, end of story,' one knowledgeable expert said."
9/24
Britain releases dossier to public saying Iraq could launch biological or chemical attack within 45 minutes. Dossier later determined to be "sexed up."
9/25
"You can't distinguish between Al Qaeda and Saddam when you talk about the war on terror."-Bush
9/25
Citing al-Libi intel, Rice says: "High-ranking detainees have said that Iraq provided some training to Al Qaeda in chemical weapons development."
9/26
Classified DIA assessment of Iraq's chemical weapons concludes there is "no reliable information on whether Iraq is producing and stockpiling chemical weapons."
5/30/03
9/26
In a Rose Garden speech, Bush says: "The Iraqi regime possesses biological and chemical weapons."
9/26
In a speech in Houston, Bush says of Saddam: "After all, this is a guy who tried to kill my dad."
9/27
Rumsfeld calls link between Iraq and Al Qaeda "accurate and not debatable."
9/28
Bush's address to nation: "The Iraqi regime possesses biological and chemical weapons, is rebuilding the facilities to make more and, according to the British government, could launch a biological or chemical attack in as little as 45 minutes after the order is given."
Oct.
National Intelligence Estimate produced. It warns that Iraq "is reconstituting its nuclear program" and "has now established large-scale, redundant and concealed BW agent production capabilities"-an assessment based largely on Curveball's statements. But NIE also notes that the State Dept. has assigned "low confidence" to the notion of "whether in desperation Saddam would share chemical or biological weapons with Al Qaeda." Cites State Dept. experts who concluded that "the tubes are not intended for use in Iraq's nuclear weapons program." Also says "claims of Iraqi pursuit of natural uranium in Africa" are "highly dubious." Only six senators bother to read all 92 pages.
7/18/03
Oct.
Administration decides not to take out Abu Musab al-Zarqawi because, though he is not yet working with Al Qaeda, any terrorist in Iraq helps case for war. "People were more obsessed with developing the coalition to overthrow Saddam than to execute the president's policy of preemption against terrorists," a former NSC member later says.
3/2/04
10/4
Asked by Sen. Graham to make gist of NIE public, Tenet produces 25-page document titled "Iraq's Weapons of Mass Destruction Programs." It says Saddam has them and omits dissenting views contained in the classified NIE.
10/4
Knight Ridder reports: "Several senior administration officials and intelligence officers, all of whom spoke only on the condition of anonymity, charged that the decision to publicize one analysis of the aluminum tubes and ignore the contrary one is typical of the way the administration has been handling intelligence about Iraq."
10/6
NSC memo to White House warning of the Niger uranium claim: "The evidence is weak…the Africa story is overblown."
4/23/06
10/7
Bush delivers a speech in which he says, "Facing clear evidence of peril, we cannot wait for the final proof-the smoking gun-that could come in the form of a mushroom cloud." Also says Iraq is exploring ways of using drones to target the US, although Iraq's drones have a reach of only 300 miles.
10/7
CIA Deputy Director John McLaughlin, writing for Tenet, sends a letter to Congress declaring that the likelihood of Saddam using WMD unless attacked is "very low."
10/8/02
10/8
Knight Ridder reports: "[A] growing number of military officers, intelligence professionals and diplomats in his own government privately have deep misgivings about the administration's double-time march toward war. These officials charge that administration hawks have exaggerated evidence of the threat that Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein poses…'Analysts at the working level in the intelligence community are feeling very strong pressure from the Pentagon to cook the intelligence books,' one official said, speaking on condition of anonymity."
10/11
Congress-including all serious Democratic contenders-votes to grant Bush power to go to war.
10/16
Bush tells public, "I have not ordered the use of force. I hope the use of force will not become necessary."
10/20
Saddam empties prisons.
10/21
In Lackawanna, NY, six American citizens of Yemeni descent are hyped as a "sleeper cell" and indicted on terror charges despite scant evidence.
Nov.
CIA station chiefs from Middle East gather for a secret meeting at the US Embassy in London. The message: War is inevitable, just a few months away.
1/3/06
Nov.
At largest CIA prison in Afghanistan, code-named Salt Pit, a case officer orders guards to strip a young detainee naked, chain him to the concrete floor and leave him overnight. He freezes to death. 3/3/05
11/5
GOP gains control of Senate.
11/7
"War is not my first choice. It's my last choice."-Bush
11/8
UN Security Council passes Resolution 1441 offering Iraq "a final opportunity to comply with its disarmament obligations." Iraq agrees and UN weapons inspectors return.
11/14
Rumsfeld handicaps war length: "Five days or five weeks or five months, but it certainly isn't going to last any longer than that."
11/25
Bush elevates Homeland Security Dept. to Cabinet.
11/27
Weapons inspections begin in Iraq.
12/2
Rumsfeld signs off on "Category III" interrogation techniques including "the use of scenarios designed to convince the detainee that death or severely painful consequences are imminent for him and/or his family." It is later shown that these methods are torture as defined in US federal law, and that DOD knew that at the time.
6/22/04
12/6
White House sacks Lindsey over war cost estimates.
12/7
Iraq submits a 12,200-page declaration to the UN documenting all its unconventional arms. US discredits the report because it does not mention the tubes or the Niger uranium.
12/21
Asked by Bush if there's any reason to doubt existence of WMD, Tenet says: "It's a slam-dunk case."
4/17/04
12/31
New war cost estimate generated: $50-$60 billion.
12/31
"You said we're headed to war in Iraq. I don't know why you say that…I'm the person who gets to decide, not you."-Bush to press corps
2003
Jan.
National Intelligence Council warns Bush that war in Iraq could lead to an anti-US insurgency and "increase popular sympathy for terrorist objectives."
10/30/04
1/3
"The Iraqi regime is a threat to any American."-Bush
1/9
Mohamed ElBaradei, head of the UN's IAEA, echoes DOE's view that the aluminum tubes sought by Iraq are likely for artillery rockets, not centrifuges. A senior Bush official responds, "I think the Iraqis are spinning the IAEA."
1/9
After nearly two months, UN's Hans Blix says his inspectors have not found any "smoking guns" in Iraq.
1/11
Bush tells Saudi ambassador Prince Bandar he plans to go to war two days before he tells Sec. Powell.
4/18/04
1/20
Bush signs presidential directive giving Pentagon control over postwar Iraq.
1/24
IAEA tells Washington Post, "It may be technically possible that the tubes could be used to enrich uranium, but you'd have to believe that Iraq deliberately ordered the wrong stock and intended to spend a great deal of time and money reworking each piece."
1/27
UN press release: "It would appear…Iraq had decided in principle to…bring the disarmament task to completion through the peaceful process of inspection." Weapons inspectors have examined 106 locations and found "no evidence that Iraq had revived its nuclear weapons programme."
1/28
In State of the Union, Bush says "the 16 words": "The British government has learned that Saddam Hussein recently sought significant quantities of uranium from Africa." Bush adds Saddam has "tried to purchase high-strength aluminum tubes suitable for nuclear weapons production" and has "mobile biological weapons labs."
1/29
"Iraq poses a serious and mounting threat to our country."-Rumsfeld
1/31
Notes of meeting between Bush and Blair make clear Bush intends to invade Iraq even if UN inspectors found no evidence of WMD.
2/3/06
2/1
During UN speech rehearsal, Powell throws draft written by Libby into the air and says: "I'm not reading this. This is bullshit."
6/9/03
2/4
After reading draft of Powell's speech, CIA agent e-mails his superior with concerns about "the validity of the information based on 'CURVE BALL.'" Noting he's the only US agent to have ever met Curveball (who was hung over at the time), the agent asks: "We sure didn't give much credence to this report when it came out. Why now?" Deputy head of CIA's Iraqi Task Force responds: "Let's keep in mind the fact that this war's going to happen regardless of what Curveball said or didn't say…the Powers That Be probably aren't terribly interested in whether Curveball knows what he's talking about."
7/9/04
2/4
Tyler Drumheller, CIA's European operations chief, makes personal appeal to Tenet to delete Curveball's intel from UN speech.
6/25/06
2/4
Powell asks Tenet to personally assure intel for speech is good. Tenet does.
6/25/06
2/5
In UN speech, Powell says, "Every statement I make today is backed up by sources, solid sources. These are not assertions. What we're giving you are facts and conclusions based on solid intelligence." Cites al-Libi's claims and Curveball's "eyewitness" accounts of mobile weapons labs. (German officer who supervised Curveball's handler will later recall thinking, "Mein Gott!") Powell also claims that Saddam's son Qusay has ordered WMD removed from palace complexes; that key WMD files are being driven around Iraq by intelligence agents; that bioweapons warheads have been hidden in palm groves; that a water truck at an Iraqi military installation is a "decontamination vehicle" for chemical weapons; that Iraq has drones it can use for bioweapons attacks; and that WMD experts have been corralled into one of Saddam's guest houses. All but the last of those claims had been flagged by the State Dept.'s own intelligence unit as "WEAK."
7/18/03
2/7
Rumsfeld ups war length estimate: "It could last…six days, six weeks. I doubt six months."
2/7
Three State Dept. bureau chiefs prepare a secret memo warning that "serious planning gaps for post-conflict public security and humanitarian assistance…could result in serious human rights abuses, which would undermine an otherwise successful military campaign, and our reputation internationally."
8/18/05
2/7
As anti-war demonstrations increase, DHS Sec. Ridge warns of Al Qaeda "credible threats" and raises the terror alert level to orange.
2/8
UN's Team Bravo, led by American bioweapons experts, searches Curveball's former work site in Iraq and disproves many of his claims.
11/20/05
2/8
In radio address to the nation, Bush warns that "firsthand witnesses [read: Curveball] have informed us that Iraq has at least seven mobile factories" for germ warfare.
2/10
DHS advises Americans to stock up on plastic sheeting and duct tape to protect themselves against radiological or biological attack.
2/14
Blix again tells UN Security Council that Iraq appears to be cooperating with inspectors.
2/15
Largest demonstrations in history. In 600 cities worldwide, millions protest war.
2/20
Rumsfeld: "There is no question but that [the invasion] would be welcomed." Later says: "Never said that. Never did…You may remember it well, but you're thinking of somebody else."
2/23
"UN weapons inspectors are being seriously deceived…It reminds me of the way the Nazis hoodwinked Red Cross officials."-Perle
2/25
Gen. Eric Shinseki tells Congress "several hundred thousand troops" will be needed to occupy Iraq. Rumsfeld retaliates, naming Shinseki's successor 14 months before the end of his term.
2/27
US diplomat John Brady Kiesling resigns, citing the "distortion of intelligence" and "systematic manipulation of American opinion."
2/27
Wolfowitz tells congressional hearing: "I am reasonably certain that they will greet us as liberators…the notion of hundreds of thousands of American troops is way off the mark."
3/1
Iraq destroys four missiles, meeting a UN deadline to begin disarming.
3/7
US, Britain and Spain present a revised draft resolution giving Saddam an ultimatum to disarm by March 17 or face the possibility of war. France refuses to sign on to ultimatum.
3/7
Blix tells UN Security Council that there's "no evidence" of mobile bioweapons facilities in Iraq.
3/7
"After three months of intrusive inspections, we have to date found no evidence or plausible indication of the revival of a nuclear weapon program in Iraq."-IAEA's ElBaradei
3/8
On CNN, Joe Wilson says, "I think it's safe to say that the US government should have or did know that [the Niger documents were] fake before Dr. ElBaradei mentioned it in his report at the UN yesterday." Decision to discredit Wilson made at a meeting within the Office of the Vice President.
5/3/04
3/8
"We are doing everything we can to avoid war in Iraq."-Bush
3/15
Bush, Tony Blair and Spain's president have "emergency summit." Bush gives UN one day to find a diplomatic solution.
3/17
Threat level elevated to orange.
3/17
US and UK fail to secure UN resolution authorizing use of force. Bush gives Saddam 48 hours to surrender.
3/18
Washington Post article headlined "Bush Clings to Dubious Allegations About Iraq" notes, "As the Bush
administration prepares to attack Iraq this week, it is doing so on the basis of a number of allegations against Iraqi President Saddam Hussein that have been challenged-and in some cases disproved-by the United Nations, European governments and even US intelligence reports." Story is buried on page A13.
3/20
War begins.
